ISEM Seminar Series

Managing Perishable Inventory Systems with Positive Lead Times: Inventory Position vs. Projected Inventory Level"

by

Dr Xiting Gong

Professor, Director of the MBA Programme in Technology and Innovation

Department of Decisions, Operations and Technology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK)

20 July 2026 (Monday), 4pm – 5pm
Venue: E1-07-21/22 - ISEM Executive Classroom
ABSTRACT

We study periodic-review perishable inventory systems with a fixed product lifetime, positive replenishment lead times, and a general issuance policy under the average-cost criterion. The optimal replenishment policy for such systems is notoriously complex and computationally intractable due to the curse of dimensionality. To address this challenge, we propose a class of projected inventory level (PIL) policies, which maintain a constant expected on-hand inventory level, and compare them with conventional base-stock (BS) policies that maintain a constant inventory position. For both backlogging and lost-sales systems, we show that the best PIL policy is asymptotically optimal with large unit penalty costs for a broad class of unbounded demand distributions. When demand is bounded and the unit penalty cost is sufficiently large, we prove that the best BS policy is optimal under first-in-first-out (FIFO) issuance, whereas the best PIL policy is optimal under last-in-first-out (LIFO) issuance (under certain conditions). Furthermore, we show that both policies are asymptotically optimal as the demand population size grows large, and their optimality gaps diminish exponentially fast in backlogging systems under a broad range of issuance policies. To facilitate computation, we introduce a class of approximate PIL (APIL) policies and extend most theoretical results for PIL to the APIL policy. Numerical results show that both PIL and APIL policies perform very close to optimal and significantly outperform BS policies.

The full paper is available at https://ssrn.com/abstract=4638265.

Xiting Gong is Professor in the Department of Decisions, Operations and Technology and Director of the MBA Programme in Technology and Innovation at the CUHK Business School, The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK). He also holds a courtesy appointment in the Department of Systems Engineering and Engineering Management. Prior to joining CUHK, he was a Postdoctoral Research Fellow at the University of Michigan. Professor Gong received his bachelor’s degree in applied mathematics and his master’s and PhD degrees in management science from Peking University. His research focuses on operations management, with particular interests in stochastic inventory theory and its applications, revenue management and pricing, and approximation and data-driven algorithms. His research has been supported by multiple competitive grants, including ECS and GRF grants from the Research Grants Council (RGC) of Hong Kong and the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (2024), and an industry-sponsored research grant from Huawei. Professor Gong serves as Department Editor for Decision Sciences and Associate Editor for Naval Research Logistics and Operations Research Letters.